Saturday, August 11, 2012

Obama in lead

I hate to point this out for superstitious reasons, but I not supposed to believe in superstition. I really don't then wind up finding reality often plots against me. Anyway, Obama is now leading in three major polls, by as much as seven points.

Washington post:
August 10
Three polls released in the last 24 hours show President Obama widening his lead over the former Massachusetts governor to as much as nine points. The surveys of registered voters, all conducted sometime between Aug. 2 and 8, also have Romney’s unfavorable ratings headed north. Two of the polls show his support among independents slipping.
The first is
A Fox News poll found the largest deficit, with Romney trailing by nine points (49 percent to 40 percent) That’s the widest gap Fox has reported all year. Its July survey had Obama up by four points (45 percent to 41 percent). Fox found that Obama’s increasing advantage comes mainly on the strength of a big bump from independents, who now support the president by 11 points, up from four points in July.
Next CNN/ORC place the race at 52-45%.Obama leading 9 points.

The new Reuters/Ipsos poll has Romney trailing Obama 49 percent to 42 percent

This is not bad for a guy who just a couple of months ago was being dismissed as "he's done so bad on the economy no way he can get re-elected." Of cousre this is no time to sit back and be overconfident. Still too early for these to be meaningful figures. The conventions haven't even been held yet. We can also expect Obama to dip with the news exposure than choosing a running make will give the Romney campaign. This is the time to make sure everyone understands about the reasons why the economy hasn't picked up:

*fighting two Vietnam scale wars at once for 10 years.

* One or two million jobs created but absorbed by recession.

* Administration of stimulus left to states, who used money for non job creation.

* Major drought and ecological disasters in gulf.

We also need to be clear about Romney's policies which favor the rich, supply empty rhetoric and ideological myths about tax cuts providing jobs when they do no such thing. The Reagan tax cuts did not lead to jobs becuase the rich and corporations do not spend money on jobs they invest to make more money without creating jobs. It's not going to be any different now.

1 comment:

  1. Yes, by choosing Paul Ryan, Romney has alienated moderates who were hoping he'd move more moderate now he had obtained the Republican nomination. Instead he chose a right-wing idealogue.

    This particular moderate (me) had already decided on Obama, however. The Republicans don't get my vote again until they demonstrate a willingness to be sane and reasonable.